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By Collins Ajuok 1. His entire plan was premised on Raila being unacceptable as Uhuru's successor. It was meant to be a straightforward failure. It didn't go according to plan. 2. For some strange reason, he and his supporters assumed Uhuru was playing Raila. Apparently Uhuru was to switch to Ruto at the last minute. No one remembers who came up with this crazy idea. 3. Ruto always banked heavily on his tribe being "unbetrayable". Bad things were meant to happen to any tribe which betrayed the Kalenjin. That tribe was specifically the Kikuyu. But Uhuru has "betrayed" Ruto as an individual and Ruto desperately needs the Kikuyu. So his tribe can't go after the Kikuyu because he wants the impression that Kikuyu masses are with him. 4. Related to 3 above, Ruto's community cannot threaten any other tribe but the Kikuyu. They have no political deal with their neighbours the Luo and the Luhya, while the Pokot are more bad news where threats are concerned